economics

Meat and Poultry Demand Ups and Downs

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Jan 2012 Meyer Swine Economics

Dr. Steve Meyer, Paragon Economics, provided an update on the state of the meat and poultry markets. His main take away is that the demand continued to struggle late 2011.

The bad news is that these "annual" numbers for 2011 have been getting worse and worse as the year has progressed.

Steve reminds us that the indexes only describe how demand is changing, not why a change is occurring. He believes consumer incomes and spending was the major negative force in the domestic market in 2011.

Charts below from Paragon Economics, using USDA data.

Farmland Prices Going Higher?

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Audio via PoultryCast

Terry Feldheim of the Farm Credit Service of America highlights the support underpinning land prices at these levels.

What is sustainable ag lending? That really comes down to a concept what is sustainable at given prices. We look at farmers and ranchers, asking if they can cash flow $4.50 corn? If he can cash flow that, he has a much higher probably of sustaining the volatility that comes at us.

The operations that will get loans must have strong working capital positions and actions in play to reduce any debts as quickly as possible.

BeefCast 0508 - Better Outlook For Feedgrains From Industry Analyst Joe Kerns

BeefCast 0508 Show Notes: 

BeefCast 0507 - How Will New Free Trade Agreements Impact Beef Exports?

BeefCast 0507 Show Notes:

Do Smaller Operations Need Big Operation Regulations?

large vs small farm There are a series of campaigns aimed at securing larger government support for smaller farms. Smaller operators believe US agriculture policies do not favor small, independent farmers.
"I think funding is one of the biggest struggles I have encountered," said [Alex] Bryan. "To get funding to play in the game, to purchase equipment or to build infrastructure that follows guidelines that may be more appropriate for a large-scale producer, may be prohibitive to the small producer. We're following a lot of the same regulations."
Rules through the Grain Inspection, Packers & Stockyards Administration (GIPSA) are seen as a way to help smaller farms be on a level playing field with larger operations.

BeefCast 0506 - Drought Continues Pushing Cattle Herds To Slaughter

BeefCast 0506 Show Notes:
  • Devastating drought conditions in the southwest continue to bump slaughter numbers.  How and why with Oklahoma State livestock economist Darrell Peel as he talks with Eric Atkinson.

What Are Global Perspectives on Commodity Price Spikes?


Photo AP Photo/Danny Johnston, File

The Diane Rehm Show brought together four experts on world economies and agriculture to address the current commodity prices and their impact on food, fuel, and fiber.

Dr. Steve Meyer - Pork Industry Economic Update

 

Dr. Steve Meyer, Paragon Economics, provides an in-depth pork industry economic update, from the Swine Forecast 2011 webinar, December 1, 2010.

 

Key factors for 2011: Ethanol and biofuels policy; Grains and costs of production; Policy decisions; Macro-economic situation – esp. $US; Last month’s elections

What is the Economic Outlook for Farms and Ranches?

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The Agricultural and Food Policy Center (AFPC) at Texas A&M University and the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) at the University of Missouri recently published their Representative Farms Economic Outlook for December 2010. This baseline report offers an assessment of farms, crops and their financial outlook.

Feed grain producers across the nation should increase the financial strength of their operators over the next five years, helped by strong commodity prices. Farms that have been in marginal or poor financial position in the last several years because of lower grain prices should recover and climb into stronger financial positions.

Some highlights include:

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